Deloitte’s 2026 Global Insurance Outlook reviews how insurers may navigate a fast-changing environment as the market moves into 2026. The report highlights sustained uncertainty across the industry, driven by economic and geopolitical volatility, as well as the increasing frequency and severity of catastrophic events. At the same time, the outlook describes how customer expectations continue to rise, distribution channels are consolidating, and technology is reshaping business models. Deloitte’s central message is that many carriers may need to reconsider how they operate, modernize, and compete to stay ready for what comes next.
Below is a high-level summary of several major themes from the report.
1. Property and Casualty Carriers Face Slowing Growth and Margin Pressure
Deloitte expects global P&C premium growth to decline through 2026. Heightened competition, weaker pricing momentum, and emerging cost pressures contribute to this shift. In the United States, underwriting results were the strongest in more than a decade in 2024; however, the combined ratio is projected to worsen in 2025 and 2026. Deloitte also notes that emerging markets may experience slower premium growth in 2025–2026 due to an economic slowdown in China.
2. Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty Create Ripple Effects
The report describes how tariffs raise claims costs in lines such as auto and homeowners, because repair parts and construction materials become more expensive. As businesses absorb or pass on higher import costs, Deloitte expects an increase in additional credit risk and a rise in demand for trade credit insurance, although insurers may face capacity constraints. Tariffs also increase risk complexity for marine and aviation insurers tied to cargo and logistics exposures.
3. Catastrophes, Legal Risk, and Distribution Consolidation Add Structural Strain
Deloitte highlights escalating weather-related losses globally, tighter reinsurance terms, and a widening protection gap. It also points to rising legal risks, including the expansion of third-party litigation funding and social inflation, which increases the severity of casualty and liability claims. Meanwhile, broker consolidation pressures carrier negotiating power; large corporates continue to use captives to self-insure, and alternative risk entrants expand. In response, Deloitte expects carriers to leverage agile capital models and capital-market tools, such as cat bonds and sidecars.
4. Life, Annuity, and Group Insurers Adjust Strategies as Growth Shifts
Life insurance growth is forecast to slow globally, especially in advanced markets, while annuities remain a bright spot. Deloitte reports strong annuity sales momentum in the United States and growing demand for unit-linked products in Europe. The outlook also describes deeper convergence between life carriers and private equity, including the expansion of private credit allocations and the use of sidecars to boost capital efficiency. In group insurance, Deloitte expects growth to cool after peaking in 2024, yet sees opportunity in tailored ancillary benefits and digital integration. Employers are increasingly valuing carriers that integrate smoothly with benefits platforms.
5. AI Moves From Pilots To Scaled Use Cases, but Foundations Matter
Deloitte says many insurers now prioritize practical AI deployments in areas such as fraud detection, underwriting support, and customer engagement. Still, the report emphasizes that success depends on improved data quality, ongoing modernization of legacy systems, and robust cybersecurity. As insurers expand their use of cloud, APIs, IoT, and AI, they also increase their cyber risk, making data stewardship and third-party oversight essential.
These highlights capture only part of Deloitte’s complete analysis. For more detail on segment-specific forecasts, technology priorities, workforce implications, customer experience strategies, and tax changes under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, see the complete 2026 Global Insurance Outlook report from Deloitte, which I’ll link in the published version.
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