Federal Debt Casts Uncertainty Over Economy, Says Travelers CEO

Chairman and chief executive Jay Fishman of insurer Travelers Cos. Inc. said Monday at a U.S. Chamber of Commerce event that U.S. businesses are hesitant to make investment and hiring decisions because of unprecedented budget uncertainty at the federal level.

Source: Source: Dow Jones | Published on November 9, 2010

"It's just never been more uncertain."

The U.S. government's gap between spending and income was the second largest on record last year--$1.294 trillion in fiscal 2010, the Treasury

Department said last month. The deficit amounted to 8.9% of gross domestic product. That is down from fiscal 2009, when the deficit of $1.416 trillion was 10.0% of GDP. Fiscal years end Sept. 30.

The Congressional Budget Office, meanwhile, forecasts that federal debt will reach 69.4% of GDP by 2020 from 36% before the economic crisis.

Fishman said that businesses have a hard time understanding the impact of the debt on the economy, and have little clarity on the policies that may be enacted to cut it. That makes executives take a more conservative, cautious path, he said.

Business executives "are accustomed to operating in unclear environments. This one is just different," Fishman said.

Fishman said it would likely require broad-based, collective sacrifice to reduce the debt.