Banks’ Credit Ratings Compromised by Bond Insurers, S&P Reports

Standard & Poor's on Tuesday said that commercial and investment banks could see their credit ratings cut if the bond insurers which hedge some of their assets were themselves downgraded.

Published on February 6, 2008

The importance of the bond insurers' financial health to the wider financial services industry was underscored by the S&P report. The sector has already taken more than $100 billion in write-downs on sub-prime related assets and bad loans.

Regulators including New York Insurance Commissioner Eric Dinallo have been in talks to shore up insurers' capital. A group of the largest banks has joined together to look for ways to shore up Ambac Financial Group Inc, the second-largest bond insurer, two people briefed on the talks said Friday.

The Wall Street Journal on Tuesday reported that a third bond insurer -- Financial Guaranty Insurance Co, which was downgraded by Fitch Ratings last week -- was the target of another rescue bid by a group of banks, though it said the talks were in a preliminary phase.

One analyst estimated last week that U.S. financial institutions would face as much as $70 billion in new write-downs in 2008 if bond insurers lost their top "AAA" ratings.

S&P echoed concern about the ripple effect from bond insurer downgrades.

"We believe that the specific, identifiable effect on banks may be significant and, in a few cases, could lead to downgrades. Large global institutions have direct exposure to the bond insurers in a number of ways," credit analyst Tanya Azarchs said in a report.